Nov 11, 2022
Recently, I came up with a thesis on November 1, 2022 that the 2.7% decline in the Series I Bond rate was the most bullish economic indicator I've seen all year. See: The Most Bullish Indicator Yet
Nine days later, on November 10, 2022, the thesis was spot on as October inflation numbers came in below expectations. How did well-paid PhD economists & Wall Street strategists not recognize upcoming inflation figures will likely come in below EXPECTATIONS?
Conversely, how did a tired, stay-at-home dad without a job since 2012 get it right? This episode is on how to make better investment forecasts to hopefully make more money. We won't be able to get investing right all the time, but we can do work to help increase our odds of making better decisions.
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